Whether it's weather or climate : Temperature and individual deprivation in Sub-Saharan Africa

DOI zum Zitieren der Version auf EPub Bayreuth: https://doi.org/10.15495/EPub_UBT_00009518
URN to cite this document: urn:nbn:de:bvb:703-epub-9518-2

Title data

Baako-Amponsah, Josephine ; Stadelmann, David ; Wild, Frederik:
Whether it's weather or climate : Temperature and individual deprivation in Sub-Saharan Africa.
In: Energy Economics. Vol. 158 (2026) . - 109363.
ISSN 1873-6181
DOI der Verlagsversion: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109363

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Abstract

Sub-Saharan Africa is widely regarded as one of the world’s most climate-vulnerable regions, yet large-scale evidence linking temperature exposure to individual-level welfare remains fragmented. In this paper, we provide a unified assessment of temperature exposure across multiple time horizons by linking daily, monthly, yearly, and long-run average temperature data to 168,585 geo-referenced households in 28 African countries. Our results consistently reveal a statistically robust negative association between higher temperatures and individual living standards, whether arising from short-term weather shocks or long-run climatic conditions. Quantitatively, these effects are modest, particularly once individual characteristics and local geographic conditions are accounted for. Notably, we find no substantive differences between impacts of short-term temperature and long-run climatic effects, suggesting limited past adaptation to sustained heat exposure. The fact that temperature-related welfare losses are differentially stronger among rural and agriculturally engaged households further highlights the persistent vulnerability of climate-sensitive livelihoods. Crucially, however, local infrastructural endowments emerge as an important moderating factor, significantly weakening the association between temperature exposure and individual-level deprivation. This finding points to scope for adaptation through investments in basic infrastructure and service provision.

Further data

Item Type:	Article in a journal
Keywords:	Sub-Saharan Africa; Temperature; Climate change; Economic development
DDC Subjects:	300 Social sciences > 330 Economics 500 Science > 550 Earth sciences, geology
Institutions of the University:	Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics > Professor Economic Policy and Development Economics > Professor Economic Policy and Development Economics - Univ.-Prof. Dr. David Stadelmann Faculties Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics > Professor Economic Policy and Development Economics
Language:	English
Originates at UBT:	Yes
URN:	urn:nbn:de:bvb:703-epub-9518-2
Date Deposited:	24 Jul 2026 13:25
Last Modified:	24 Jul 2026 13:25
URI:	https://epub.uni-bayreuth.de/id/eprint/9518

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