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A Structural Account of Protest Occurrence : Evidence from the US

DOI zum Zitieren der Version auf EPub Bayreuth: https://doi.org/10.15495/EPub_UBT_00007846
URN to cite this document: urn:nbn:de:bvb:703-epub-7846-5

Title data

Baule, Tim:
A Structural Account of Protest Occurrence : Evidence from the US.
Bayreuth, Germany , 2024 . - 41 S.

Abstract

The occurrence of protests is regularly linked to a variety of structural conditions, i.e., socio-political characteristics. These are usually quantified using proxy or multiple variables. However, these approaches complicate comparing effect sizes and investigating interdependencies. In this paper, I address these pitfalls by objectively quantifying four structural conditions – grievances, resources, political opportunities, and personalities – using principal component analysis on the US county level from 2017 to 2021. The quantification allows for constructing a model with interaction and square terms, enabling the investigation of each structural condition’s effect individually and in a given context. The results are threefold: (1) Resources have the largest effect on protests, followed by personalities, political opportunities, and grievances. (2) Context greatly influences how structural conditions impact protests; e.g., grievances have a substantially larger effect when political opportunities exist. (3) Grievances increase the chance of violent protests, while personalities and political opportunities foster nonviolent protests.

Further data

Item Type: Preprint, postprint
Keywords: Protests; Demonstrations; Structural Conditions; Protest Violence; Protest
Networks
DDC Subjects: 300 Social sciences > 320 Political science
300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
Institutions of the University: Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics
Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics > Chair Economics V - Institutional Economics > Chair Economics V - Institutional Economics - Univ.-Prof. Dr. Martin Leschke
Faculties
Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics
Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics > Chair Economics V - Institutional Economics
Language: English
Originates at UBT: Yes
URN: urn:nbn:de:bvb:703-epub-7846-5
Date Deposited: 02 Aug 2024 11:50
Last Modified: 02 Aug 2024 11:54
URI: https://epub.uni-bayreuth.de/id/eprint/7846

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