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URN to cite this document: urn:nbn:de:bvb:703-epub-7129-8
Title data
Frank, Marco ; Stadelmann, David ; Torgler, Benno:
Higher turnout increases incumbency advantages: Evidence from mayoral elections.
In: Economics & Politics.
Vol. 35
(2023)
Issue 2
.
- pp. 529-555.
ISSN 1468-0343
DOI der Verlagsversion: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecpo.12226
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Abstract
Abstract We analyze the effect of electoral turnout on incumbency advantages by exploring mayoral elections in the German state of Bavaria. Mayors are elected by majority rule in two-round (runoff) elections. Between the first and second ballot of the mayoral election in March 2020, the state government announced an official state of emergency. In the second ballot, voting in person was prohibited and only postal voting was possible. To construct an instrument for electoral turnout, we use a difference-in-differences strategy by contrasting turnout in the first and second ballot in 2020 with the first and second ballots from previous elections. We use this instrument to analyze the causal effect of turnout on incumbent vote shares. A 10-percentage point increase in turnout leads to a statistically robust 3.4 percentage point higher vote share for incumbent mayors highlighting the relevance of turnout-related incumbency advantages.
Further data
| Item Type: | Article in a journal |
|---|---|
| Keywords: | incumbency effects; mayoral elections; turnout; voting in crises |
| DDC Subjects: | 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics |
| Institutions of the University: | Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics > Professor Economic Policy and Development Economics > Professor Economic Policy and Development Economics - Univ.-Prof. Dr. David Stadelmann Faculties Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics Faculties > Faculty of Law, Business and Economics > Department of Economics > Professor Economic Policy and Development Economics |
| Language: | English |
| Originates at UBT: | Yes |
| URN: | urn:nbn:de:bvb:703-epub-7129-8 |
| Date Deposited: | 20 Jul 2023 05:09 |
| Last Modified: | 20 Jul 2023 05:10 |
| URI: | https://epub.uni-bayreuth.de/id/eprint/7129 |
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