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Deep-time climate legacies affect origination rates of marine genera

DOI zum Zitieren der Version auf EPub Bayreuth:
URN to cite this document: urn:nbn:de:bvb:703-epub-5962-5

Title data

Mathes, Gregor H. ; Kiessling, Wolfgang ; Steinbauer, Manuel:
Deep-time climate legacies affect origination rates of marine genera.
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Vol. 118 (7 September 2021) Issue 36 .
ISSN Print: 0027-8424 Electronic: 1091-6490
DOI der Verlagsversion:

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Project information

Project title:
Project's official title
Project's id
Humans on Planet Earth (Hope)
FOR 2332: Temperature-related stressors as a unifying principle in ancient extinctions (Tersane)
CoralTrace: A new approach to understanding climate-induced reef crises
KI 806/16-1
PastKey: Evolutionary and environmental history explaining temperature related extinctions in marine biota
STE 2360/2-1

Project financing: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
European Research Council
Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft


Biodiversity dynamics are shaped by a complex interplay between current conditions and historic legacy. The interaction of short- and long-term climate change may mask the true relationship of evolutionary responses to climate change if not specifically accounted for. These paleoclimate interactions have been demonstrated for extinction risk and biodiversity change, but their importance for origination dynamics remains untested. Here, we show that origination probability in marine fossil genera is strongly affected by paleoclimate interactions. Overall, origination probability increases by 27.8% [95% CI (27.4%, 28.3%)] when a short-term cooling adds to a long-term cooling trend. This large effect is consistent through time and all studied groups. The mechanisms of the detected effect might be manifold but are likely connected to increased allopatric speciation with eustatic sea level drop caused by sustained global cooling. We tested this potential mechanism through which paleoclimate interactions can act on origination rates by additionally examining a proxy for habitat fragmentation. This proxy, continental fragmentation, has a similar effect on origination rates as paleoclimate interactions, supporting the importance of allopatric speciation through habitat fragmentation in the deep-time fossil record. The identified complex nature of paleoclimate interactions might explain contradictory conclusions on the relationship between temperature and origination in the previous literature. Our results highlight the need to account for complex interactions in evolutionary studies both between and among biotic and abiotic factors.

Further data

Item Type: Article in a journal
Keywords: climate change; fossil record; paleoclimate; evolution; macroevolution
DDC Subjects: 500 Science > 550 Earth sciences, geology
500 Science > 560 Fossils, prehistoric life
500 Science > 570 Life sciences, biology
Institutions of the University: Faculties > Faculty of Biology, Chemistry and Earth Sciences
Faculties > Faculty of Cultural Studies > Department of Sport Science > Professor Sport Ecology > Professor Sport Ecology - Univ.-Prof. Dr. Manuel Jonas Steinbauer
Research Institutions > Central research institutes > Bayreuth Center of Ecology and Environmental Research- BayCEER
Graduate Schools > University of Bayreuth Graduate School
Faculties > Faculty of Cultural Studies
Faculties > Faculty of Cultural Studies > Department of Sport Science
Faculties > Faculty of Cultural Studies > Department of Sport Science > Professor Sport Ecology
Research Institutions
Research Institutions > Central research institutes
Graduate Schools
Language: English
Originates at UBT: Yes
URN: urn:nbn:de:bvb:703-epub-5962-5
Date Deposited: 08 Feb 2022 09:47
Last Modified: 22 Sep 2023 11:29


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